If you are approaching the world of football betting and would like to know more about how it works, or you are already betting but would like some tips to increase your awareness and the odds of winning, this guide will undoubtedly be helpful. We want to show you how some of our best bettors think and act in this bookmaker.

Approaching football betting the right way

 First of all, we must emphasize that you must not approach football betting thinking of it as a way to earn: from the moment they represent a risk, you can improve the way you make your predictions but never reach a point where you can take victory for granted. Risk is a fundamental factor to consider before betting, together with the fact that this whole world is part of the broader sphere of gambling. That said, football betting is a great passion for many, and sometimes a win can result from joy and an extra dinner out.

 Try to have a relaxed approach when you start studying the schedule and not be in a hurry, feel obliged, and find good games to bet on every time. To help you always be lucid when you are approaching the list of upcoming matches on the calendar, leave on your account only what you feel you can lose peacefully without changing your financial situation in any way. The quotations of some very successful bettors who, in one way or another, always say they always give up their bets are famous; when expectations are lowered, the clarity with which decisions are made increases.

 It may seem to you that the concepts in this paragraph are taken for granted, but this is not the case. The win becomes more difficult without a correct approach and proper risk management because decisions become blurred. Above all, if you should see bets fail, do not try at all costs to immediately recover what you have lost by betting on other games; it's the very nature of the game: sometimes you win, sometimes you lose.

Winning is difficult if you don't understand the odds

 When we launch events, we know that the odds reflect the probability of a particular event. Some calculations don't make a 2.00 odd equal to an exact 50% probability that an event will occur, as you can learn from our sports betting guide, but right now, it's not essential to get too technical. Instead, we are interested in how you can learn to read the odds to determine whether or not to bet on a football match.

 The odds offered on football bets reflect the probability of a specific outcome.

 From the moment you understand the mathematical calculation behind a dimension, you can understand whether or not that dimension does it for you. The explanation is this: dividing one by the odds and multiplying by 100, you get the implied probability of the odds. For example, a 2.00 odds implies an implied probability of 50 percent, as 1 / 2.00 x 100 = 50 percent. Suppose this is the odds of the "winning team A" event: odds 2.00 implies a 1 in 2 probability that the event ends with a team A victory. If you think the probability is lower, then you shouldn't bet; if, on the other hand, you believe that the probability of a win by team A is greater than 50 percent, then it makes rational sense to place the bet.

 Many bettors set out to study the cards with their expected results for the upcoming games. This is partly correct because reading the odds alone is not enough if you do not have in mind a personal estimate of the probability with which an outcome could occur. However, betting without referring to the odds is not a good decision at all because the "mindset," the way many players think, is "which event is most likely to occur?" However, how the artificial intelligence that creates the odds works based on the question "how likely is every single outcome to occur?" Potentially, a favored team with an odds of 1.02 could have such a low odds that implies an almost certain probability of their victory. If the other team, however disadvantaged, had a likelihood of winning, albeit low, but higher than that implied in the odds, it would be more convenient to bet on this one time.

Football betting statistics 

 Since football is not an exact science, statistics cannot help us predict the outcome of a match. It also happens that two very prolific teams in scoring and with two not brilliant defenses can end a match 0-0. However, if nothing else, they can give us an idea of ​​what is most likely to happen. They can help us compare the probabilities implied in the odds with the likelihood that we estimate a certain outcome.

 There are sports other than football in which the study of statistics leads to much greater accuracy: basketball and baseball, for example, tend to align much more quickly with what the numbers report before the match. Even in football, however, you shouldn't underestimate the help that numbers offer you. Some bettors get excellent winning percentages using this system only and exclusively, which speaks volumes about its validity.

Consider different perspectives

 When you have studied the upcoming matches of the day, and you feel ready to bet, you have several options before you:

●      Play several single matches.

●      Put them all in an accumulator.

●      Combine them all in one system.

 An accumulator may seem tempting, as it potentially allows for large payouts for a small amount. However, the overall odds are given by the multiplication of many odds. That has a certain difference between their implied probability. And their actual probability (due to the mechanism with which the odds are formulated). Multiples are less probable. to be won than the sum of all the individual outcomes they contain. They are certainly enjoyable and exciting, as it is adrenaline-pumping to know that you can turn a small amount into a big win if all the games go as predicted, but the odds are against this option.

Composition of a multiple bet

 Playing a single match list is the best way to take down risk, but the systems offer a good compromise between overall odds and risk management. Especially by choosing to play the matches in pairs, maximum triples, you get combinations that can be achieved with a much higher probability than a single multiple but have significantly higher odds than single matches. As such, many experienced bettors focus on optimizing match combinations to be played.

The strategies of expert bettors

 Now we want to focus our attention on the strategies used by the experts, beyond statistics and reasoning on the odds, which are two fundamental assumptions. If you are approaching the world of betting for the first time, some considerations can undoubtedly help you build your way of approaching forecasts designed to have a better chance of winning.

The beauty of the live broadcast

 You can bet on football before and during the match. Live betting is underestimated in a sport like football, where sometimes big teams are seen playing mediocre matches against underdogs who eventually win. This is why you shouldn't minimize live bets, which allow you to bet while the match occurs. If you have an eye for reading the values ​​on the pitch once the teams confront each other, you may have a lot easier to identify the winning prediction.

 It must be said that the beginning of a match does not always manage to explain the result: sometimes one team attacks for 80 minutes scoring only one goal, while the other team in the last 10 'manages to overturn the disadvantage and win. Even live betting, therefore, is far from being an exact science.

 A strategy used by many experienced bettors is to wait for one of the live matches to see the favorite team, who may even play away, suffer a goal and go behind. At this point, the odds on the "winning favorite team" rise, presenting an excellent opportunity to bet with an interesting multiplier on a team that has a good chance of recovering the result during the match. Others prefer to watch the whole of the first half, connect during half-time and bet in the light of what they saw during the first 45 minutes of play.

Know the possible outcomes

 Football is the sport that allows you to bet on multiple types of outcomes: from the winning team to the first scorer. There are many types of predictions that you can play. Many limit themselves to considering the winning team, but aspects such as goal / no goal and the classic under / over 2.5 are equally popular.

A list of possible football betting outcomes

 However, there are many more options. The strategies used by many of our most experienced bettors arise: we always reiterate that it is not an exact science and that a strategy will never be safe. No matter how studied, those who know the possible outcomes well prove to be more successful than those who consider a limited range of options. Here are some lesser-known outcomes that can help you increase your repertoire of options:

 Second half outcome: a type of prediction often played in the interval between the two halves, who are using the live function, to bet in the light of what was seen in the first half. But with odds that are much less affected by the result than those on the outcome.

 Exact result: the odds on the exact results are higher than those on the winning team because obviously, it is more difficult to guess the same score of the two teams at the end of the 90 minutes. Those who bet often prefer "not to risk" and play the classic 1X2 outcome; in reality, even this outcome involves a risk. In some cases, the higher risk of playing the correct outcome is more than offset by the higher odds. That is why experienced bettors do not underestimate the possibility of playing this type of prediction.

 Next goal: this type of prediction allows you to bet on which team will be the next to score. If you are watching the game live and you see the pace of one of the two teams go up, with more pressing and more construction of the game between the opposing midfield and half of the pitch, you might seize the moment to bet that it will be this team. 

 Double chance: when a team is decidedly underdog, their victory has a very high share, but also the possibility that this team will be able to win the game is very low. For this reason, a choice considered optimal by many players is the double chance: betting on whether the outcome is a win for the underdog team or a draw. This prediction usually has a low odds, but the multiplier will rise if the considered group is decidedly disadvantaged. From the moment the kicks or is full of unexpected events, the double chance can be a winner with a probability underestimated by the odds of the moment.

Keep an eye on the odds

 Many love to make this type of bet: you watch the odds of the results. And you bet on those that have swelled from the moment the event was included in the schedule. This type of bet assumes that when the bookmaker shows a football match for the first time, the odds should reflect the probability of an event occurring, as we mentioned earlier. So what happens when the odds move in a certain direction?

 Bookmakers must consider the supply and demand of bettors who intend to play on a specific type of event. If there are more betting volumes on a particular team before a championship match and less on another, the odds are adjusted to balance the bets. There may be specific reasons that push the odds to move due to betting: absences from one of the two teams, a disappointing performance between when the event was presented and the day of the match, sudden dismissal of the manager, or more. Suppose the odds move because bettors are leveraging this type of situation. In that case, you will need to do your calculations well to understand if this change could represent an opportunity for you. Sometimes, however, simply cheering or an unusual volume of bets on one of the two teams causes the odds to move up or down.

 Suppose you can identify odds that have moved upwards without a particular reason why the probability of that outcome should have decreased. In that case, you will have a mathematical advantage over the implied probability of the odds.

Expand horizons

 You may not know or consider many football leagues, but they offer fascinating insights for bettors. Betting experts always try to keep an overview to choose their predictions to play from hundreds of games available, rather than a dozen. The bookmaker can find many football competitions at the highest national and international levels. There is also a wide assortment of secondary leagues that interest Italian bettors from week to week.

 The advice is always to get to know a competition well before venturing into betting. Still, over time almost all regular bettors manage to interface with ease at four or five different European leagues. In addition, those who follow various national leagues can also make more effective assessments when teams of different nationalities face off in a European or international competition.

Explore the community

 The sports betting community in Italy, particularly when it comes to football, is very active. Both on social media and on the various websites that deal with this topic, you can find other fans like you who compare themselves to the most interesting upcoming games and the predictions that each will play. Just be careful not to fall into the trap of those who say they can teach you a safe or guaranteed method to make money with football betting: there is no such strategy. There are only bettors who are more capable of predicting and bettors who guess less, that's all.

 Thanks to the advice of other players, you could consider games that you have missed or have your say by relying on your forecasting ability and meeting new friends. Although this may have a marginal impact on your win rate, it is always nice to meet other people who have the same passions as us and compare ourselves with them.

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